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All articles "recovered" written ©Mark Joseph Young, originally published on  All other articles written ©Mark Joseph Young.  This site is part of M. J. Young Net.

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Newark Political Buzz Examiner
The Early 2016 Presidential Race

The 2016 race for the White House has begun in earnest, and Governor Christie is mostly lost in a pack of candidates jockeying for position.  We began coverage before they were all announced, with this look at early expectations.

The early 2016 Republican Presidential race

It is frequently the case that sixteen to eighteen months before a Presidential election the field of candidates starts to get crowded, and particularly for the party not in power.  That is the case now, as half a dozen candidates have declared for the Republican nomination, and more than a dozen more are in the wings.  The Democratic side has more than half a dozen names in the air, too, but first we will cover the Republicans, beginning with those officially in the race, in the order in which they announced their candidacies.  Here, then, is a rough scorecard of the political "position" of each.

That is all the presently announced candidates, but there are even more whose announcements are expected.  Rob Portman announced that he would not be running, but quite a few who have apparently been considering a run have not yet confirmed a decision.  We still wait to hear from these potential candidates.  Just recently, former United Nations Ambassador John Bolton officially stated he is not running, after exploring a possible campaign.

There are even a couple of Republicans who have denied interest in running but who are still considered viable candidates who might be drafted.  Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker has held that office since 2011, and was in the news as a conservative hero for a while.  He is slightly less conservative than Trump on social issues, and about par with Graham on economics, and despite having given no indication of a run consistently scores five percent or better in polls which include his name..  Former Massachusetts Governor (2003-2007) and former Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney is often named, despite denying any interest in running.  He tends to be more centrist, about the same level as Walker on social issues but on economics standing more moderate than Kasich, a bit more free-market than Gilmore.  Former Indiana Governor (2005-2013) Mitch Daniels has stated he is not in the race, but still is being watched by observers; he falls between Santorum and Paul as moderate on social issues, only mildly conservative on economic ones between Kashich and Fiorina.

Other names have been mentioned.  New Hampshire Senator (since 2010) Kelly Ayotte has made no mention of a Presidential bid and says she will run for re-election to the Senate, but her name is floated particularly in connection with the vice presidential slot; she comes in more conservative on social issues than any other candidate, but comparable to Graham and Walker on economics.  Susana Martinez, New Mexico Governor since 2010, is similarly mentioned for a vice presidential spot; first female Hispanic governor in the nation and first female governor in New Mexico, she falls comparable to Huckabee, Perry, and Pence on social issues, but less free-market oriented even than Christie.  Also in the category of frequently mentioned potential vice presidential candidates is Nevada Governor (since 2010) Brian Sandoval, comparable to Christie on social issues, slightly less free-market oriented than Gilmore but not so much as Santorum.

That is the Republican field as it currently stands; already there is talk of the problems this is going to create for the televised debate schedule, and solutions for how to get candidates on the stage together in a limited program time are being circulated.  We will try to get up to speed on the Democrats next.

Assessments of candidate positions based on On the Issues's VoteMatch.

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The Early 2016 Democratic Presidential Race

Having looked at the candidates in the Republican race, we turn our attention to the much smaller field of Democratic contenders.  Ratings comparisons in this article sometimes compare candidates to those in that article.

That is all the presently announced candidates, but there are about a dozen others who might be interested or are considered likely candidates:

We should also mention Jill Stein, not a Democrat and not a present or previous office holder, but the Green Party candidate in 2012 who might appear again in 2016.  She garnered almost half a million votes, 0.4% of the total, in the 2012 race.  She ties Kucinech on economic control, and on social issues is slightly more liberal than he, but not so much so as Kerry.

That is the Democratic field as it currently stands; we covered the Republicans above.

Assessments of candidate positions based on On the Issues's VoteMatch.

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